Evolution Shift
A Future Look at Today
2018
November 12th, 2018

The Greatest Generational Change in History has Begun

The United States, and many countries in the world, are about to experience the greatest transfer of generational influence, power and absolute number of people in history. The Millennial and Digital Native/Gen Z generations, those born since 1981, will become the majority of the U.S. population in 2020. Each of these generations are now bigger […]

 

 

October 29th, 2018

The Transition from an Ownership to a Rental/Access Economy

[Note:  this column first appeared at The Sarasota Institute ]   The developed countries of the world are in transition from economies based upon ownership to ones increasingly based upon rental or access.  As much as any other trend, this will transform economics, consumption and how we live.  The concept of ownership is deeply embedded […]

 

 

October 13th, 2018

Peak Auto

In the early part of this century, there was a widely discussed theory called Peak Oil.  The basic premise was that humanity was moving through a time when half of all oil in the Earth had been extracted and that we were beginning to extract the second half of what remained. I was a partial […]

 

 

October 7th, 2018

Fall

The calendar says that in the Northern Hemisphere, in the United States, we are now in the season of Fall.  The fall equinox was 9/21-22.  In the U.S., we have all grown up going to school in the fall.  It is the beginning of the new year, the new grade.  Summer is over, and we […]

 

 

September 3rd, 2018

What Will Trigger the 2019 Economic Disruption?

Those who are regular readers of mine and those who have heard me speak over the last year, know that I fully anticipate some economic disruption to occur in 2019. In the first column I published about this impending event in October 2017  I stated that I am using the word disruption instead of such […]

 

 

August 6th, 2018

The World’s Fastest Computer

Recently, I visited Oak Ridge Laboratories in Knoxville, Tennessee. If that name sounds familiar, it is because it was one of the key places where the nuclear age was launched. It is the home of the Graphite Reactor where at 5 a.m. Nov. 4, 1943, spontaneous nuclear reactions began. Along with Chicago Pile 1 at […]

 

 

July 18th, 2018

Shift Age Migration

Currently I am on a a 25- day trip through four European countries, part vacation, part speaking tour.  These countries- the Netherlands, Belgium, Scotland and England- are all countries I have visited several times since the 1960s.  All have obviously undergone change over the last 50 years.  Retail and restaurant chains have gone global.  Starbucks […]

 

 

June 25th, 2018

Lower Carbon and Create Consensus in Congress – Really!

Finally, there is a groundswell for a unique, creative, possible piece of legislation that could have both a profound effect on reducing carbon and creating consensus in Congress.  Solving two of the biggest problems the U.S. has today. We simply cannot let this opportunity go away! Back in February of last year I wrote about […]

 

 

June 11th, 2018

Disintermediation – Stage One and Stage Two

Disintermediation has been a topic here for years. I started this blog in 2006 and this column was one of the first published followed shortly by this one .  In 2007 I again wrote on this theme here.  Then, through the years I have referenced disintermediation when forecasting, as in this accurate forecast about cable […]

 

 

May 28th, 2018

9/11, Katrina and Black Swan Events

In my last column here, I suggested that there will likely be some kind of economic disruption between the 4th quarter of 2018 and the 4th quarter of 2019.  The column triggered some interesting reactions.  A number of people pushed back, as they feel that we are in a great economic time with growth, profits […]

 

 

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In times of global uncertainty and disruption it takes a futurist to provide context and understanding.

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