Evolution Shift
A Future Look at Today
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September 22nd, 2015

2015- The Peak Year for Fossil Fuel Use

[Note:  Much of this column was first published in issue #37 of the Shift Age Newsletter] 2015 will turn out to be the peak year of fossil fuel use. By 2020 it will be clear that the decline in consumption of fossil fuels began this year. It therefore will be the first year of flat […]

 

 

January 27th, 2015

Oil Prices and a New Era of Lower Cost Energy

In the last column here, I forecast that humanity may well have entered a new era of lower cost energy. This could last for just a few years or could become something much more long-term. This is due to a combination of factors and trends. The only real question is the duration. Here is a […]

 

 

February 25th, 2011

Shift Age Forecasts

In the past I have written that as a futurist, it sometimes feels like I live in a state of déjà vu. I spend a lot of time researching and looking into the future to develop the forecasts and trends that I write and speak about. I experience them, see them, and have varying degrees […]

 

 

April 9th, 2009

Hydrogen, the Fuel of the Future, Starts to Show up in the Present

Hydrogen has long been looked at as the ‘fuel of the future’.  The general impression is that it will be a marketplace fuel in the future but not for a decade or more.  Well, surprise, hydrogen is coming into the fuel marketplace today, albeit slowly. Last week I attended the National Hydrogen Association annual convention […]

 

 

September 7th, 2008

Future of Energy – The Price of Oil

Recently, people have been asking me a lot of questions about the fluctuating price of oil “What is the price of oil going to be?”  “Was the recent price spike of $147 a barrel an all-time high that we won’t see again?”  And “Will the global economic slowdown drive the price of oil back down […]

 

 

July 23rd, 2008

Future Forecasts – Culture

There have been many cultural changes so far in 2008.  Some of these changes are in response to the rapid increase in the price of oil and other commodities.  Some of these changes have been due to technological innovations.  In both cases new behavior patterns are being established that will, to some degree become permanent […]

 

 

July 2nd, 2008

The Future of the Big Three – Part Two

GM, Ford and Chrysler represent to a large degree the Industrial Age legacy of manufacturing in the U.S. “What was good for General Motors was good for the United States” was, for decades in the 20th century a very true statement. The manufacturing might of America post WWII was an economic miracle and the apotheosis […]

 

 

June 30th, 2008

The Future of the Big Three – Part One

The fact that you know what I mean when I write the two words “Big Three” points to the power of Detroit and U.S. automotive marketing in the last half of the 20th century. The fact that they are no longer the big three in terms of sales in the U.S. points to the reality […]

 

 

June 25th, 2008

Congratulations America, Trend Lines to be Proud of

The two trend lines are the decline in gasoline consumption and the decline in miles driven.  These two are obviously connected and are obviously caused by the price of oil.  For the first time in close to 30 years, we have something to be proud of when it comes to our driving behavior. Two different […]

 

 

June 23rd, 2008

Keep on Trucking – Not!

This will be the first of several columns on the state of transportation in the U.S. Regular readers of this column know that for years I have predicted the current high price of oil, the sales collapse of the truck and SUV markets and the need for electric cars. In addition it has been stated […]

 

 

Act Now

David Houle has been called “the CEOs futurist, having spoken to or advised more than 3,500 CEOs in the last 10 years.

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