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2006
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2007
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2008
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2009
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2010
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2011
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2012
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2013
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2014
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2015
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2016
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2017
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2018
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2019
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2020
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April 2006
Oil would surpass $125 a barrel in 2008
Evolutionshift Blog -
June 2006
The future of newspapers in the US would be dim. National newspapers such as USA Today, the WSJ and the NYTimes would survive, as would the papers under 50,000circulation that serve smaller markets. The major metro papers would decline, collapse and many would go out of business
First Business Syndicated TV program -
February 2007
The US election of 2012 would be very significant as those that will want to take the country back would fight and lose to those that want to face the new issues of the 21st century
CEO business group -
June 2007
There will be an explosion of author direct to consumer books sold. Ebooks will be more than 50% of all books sold by 2020 [before Kindle was announced]
Evolutionshift Blog -
July 2007
An evolutionary new level of human consciousness will begin to occur in the 2020s
Speeches and in "The Shift Age" published 12/07 -
August 2007
The sub-prime problem would show that the financial marketplace was now global and the problems would become global
Evolutionshift Blog -
September 2007
Barack Obama would become president in 2008
Corporate retreat first, then Evolutionshift Blog -
January 2008
2010-2015 will be the era of the electric car and 2010-2015 will begin the age of the hydrogen fuel cell car.
Evolutionshift Blog -
February 2008
We now have "smart" phones. In the years ahead everything will become "smart": clothing, infrastructure and our homes. All will be connected.
First time, CEO business group -
April 2008
Humanity will reach 5 billion cell phone users by early 2011
Q&A after Keynote speech -
July 2008
Internet 2.0 equals video. Video will be the dominant content on the Internet.
CEO business groups -
September 2008
Complete genetic mapping for individuals will be available at a cost of $1000-1500 by late 2013
Healthcare company retreat -
October 2008
Thrift will be the New Cool.
Evolutionshift Blog -
December 2008
There will most likely be deflation in the U.S. for the next 6-12 months
CEO business groups and then Evolutionshift Blog -
January 2009
Unemployment in the U.S. will top out at 9-11%in the second half of 2009
Evolutionshift Blog -
March 2009
2012 could well be on of the most disruptive years in the US and in Europe in decades
CEO Business Group -
April 2009
Water- access to, use of, conservation of, and cost of- will be one of the most significant issues for humanity by 2018
Keynote Speech to Environmental organization -
August 2009
There will be 6 billion global cell phone users sometime in 2013
CEO Business group -
October 2009
The cable television subscription business will decline by 10% in terms of numbers of subscribers between 2009 and 2013
CEO Business group, then Evolutionshift Blog -
November 2009
Streaming video programs will be a disruptive force to the television "business" by 2014
Evolutionshift Blog -
January 2010
There will be no significant inflation- outside food and energy – in the U.S in 2010
CEO Business presentation -
March 2010
We have entered a decade in medicine where our replacement parts will be superior to what we were born with.
Keynote speech on healthcare -
April 2010
Alternative and Renewal Energy will be the greatest wealth creation opportunity in human history.
Keynote speech in Dubai ICSC -
July 2010
There is and will be a new 'less is more' trend in the US and the developed countries of the world. Consumers have separated "want" from "need" and will even then postpone the purchase of what is "needed". Consumers will save more, pay down debt and spend less. This trend will last for several years
Oprah.com and CEO presentations -
August 2010
The curation of content will be the next big trend on the Internet as the explosion of content continues
CEO Business presentation -
September 2010
Marijuana will be decriminalized in America by the middle of the decade.
CMA keynote presentation -
October 2010
Developed countries of the world will increasingly move from an ownership to a rental society this decade.
PRSA keynote -
November 2010
Due to a historic shift in the workplace, the employment rate will remain above 8% through 2012
CEO Presentation then Evolutionshift/YouTube -
December 2010
Tablet computers and powerful mobile devices will surpass PC sales in 2012 and PC and laptops by 2014
People Report Conference and CEO business groups -
January 2011
The bricks and mortar retail industry and therefore retail real estate, will undergo the greatest transformation in the next 10 years since the introduction of the automobile
PCMA conference -
February 2011
It should no longer be thought of as "the Greek debt crisis" but the possible "death rattle of the Euro
CEO Groups then Shift Age Newsletter -
March 2011
Manufacturing is about to be redefined for the 21st century. Custom will replace mass. 3-D printing will start this transformation.
CEO groups in Australia -
April 2011
Europe and specifically the Euro zone will be a no growth economic zone for the better part of the decade to 2020. Recession, deleveraging, and legacy policies of the 20th century will be the causes.
NREM keynote -
May 2011
The consumerization of technology will continue to increase and transform society
Keynote PDS CTO Tech conference -
June 2011
The greatest opportunity for the real estate industry for the next 15 years will not be to build new buildings, but to retrofit the existing existing buildings in all real estate sectors.
SAPOA keynote Captown, SA -
June 2011
Social media and connective technology will dramatically alter the theater experience
ATG Keynote, LA -
July 2011
Augmented Reality will transform much of society by 2016
Keynote Tech conference, later in "Entering the Shift Age" -
August 2011
There will be a significant economic hiccup in China in the next 12 months
Shift Age Newsletter -
September 2011
Financial and commodities markets will be highly volatile for the next few years, perhaps until 2015
Evolutionshift blog -
October 2011
Big Data will create real time sociology and anthropology and will transform most of society.
CTO conference in Copenhagen later "Entering the Shift Age" -
November 2011
China's economy will have great disruption by 2015-2016 as central planning meets the market economy it created.
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January 2012
The field of Big Data will see 1-2 million jobs created in America by 2020
Digital Book World Keynote later "Entering the Shift Age" -
February 2012
Unemployment will remain at historic highs in developed countries for years as the global economy and the Flow to global finally deconstruct formerly protected national economics. The 300 year-old concept of the "job" is being completely redefined and globalized
Vistage All-City speech, Seattle -
April 2012
The greatest ever generational transfer of power and influence will occur by 2025. Boomers/Exers to Millennials
Vistage All-City, Baltimore -
June 2012
Higher education is the next big bubble and will undergo more transformation in the next 10 years than in the last 100.
Fox Business News -
August 2012
Health care will be called health management by 2020.
"The New Health Age: The Future of Health Care in America" -
October 2012
The "Fiscal Cliff" tax legislation on 12/31/12 will make $500,000 the income level above which taxes will be raised.
Vistage All-City Minneapolis -
November 2012
There will be more gender equality in all areas of society in the 12 years to 2025 as there has been since 1975.
"The Ascendancy of Women" -
December 2012
MOOCs will transform and bifurcate higher education by 2015
"Entering the Shift Age – Education" -
January 2013
The environmental breakthrough by 2020 will be scalable Atmospheric Cleansing technology.
"Entering the Shift Age" -
February 2013
After a disruptive time 2015-2017 there will be a historic bull market from 2018-2028
"Entering the Shift Age" -
March 2013
The total expenditure on health care in the US in 2020 will be at or less than in 2013.
DTC Health Conference -
April 2013
Climate Change triggered rise in ocean levels will create great economic losses globally in the world by 2020
TISL Conference -
July 2013
Extreme weather and droughts will lead the change in consciousness about climate change starting in 2014
Sister Cities International Conference -
November 2013
Low elevation coastal cities in the U.S, such as Miami Beach will be partially or largely under water by 2020
RCAD lecture -
December 2013
In the U.S. 2012 will prove to be the high point of the Black Friday event in the physical retail space as ever more spending moves on-line.
RCAD lecture -
January 2014
The global economy has completed its first stage of development. Long term global economic growth will be less that 3% until 2018-2019.
CEO Group retreat -
February 2014
The marketing of brands is about to enter a new "golden age" due to high speed connectivity, mobile devices and the Internet of Things
CMAA speech, then "Brand Shift" -
April 2014
Fresh seafood will soon be a high priced luxury as the stock is being extinguished. Replenishment of the oceans will be a global cause by 2018
RCAD lecture -
June 2014
Increasing high speed wireless internet usage has been and will continue to be a strong downward pressure on inflation in developed countries.
Illinois Bankers Conference -
August 2014
Water disputes will grow in 2015 and the first armed conflict over water will occur in 2016.
Texas Council of Counties Conference -
September 2014
A second, more integrative stage of the global economy has begun. By 2017 this will be widely accepted.
Evolutionshift Blog -
October 2014
Streaming video models will continue to disrupt legacy distribution models in 2015 and 2016 in such a way that entire business models change.
Mpact Wealth Conference -
December 2014
We have entered a new era of lower cost energy. This could last for a number of years.
YouTube -
January 2015
The price of oil for the next two years will trade largely between $45-90 a barrel.
YouTube and Evolutionshift Blog -
February 2015
There will be great geo-political changes in the next 24 months due to a new lower level of oil prices.
Evolutionshift Blog -
March 2015
For the next several years we will continue to live in a “hacked world”.
YouTube -
April 2015
We have left the Knowledge Economy and Entered the Learning Economy.
UPCEA Conference -
May 2015
There will be twice the amount of change 2015-2020 as there was from 2010-2015.
Evolutionshift Blog -
May 2015
The Cable TV Era is Over.
Evolutionshift Blog -
June 2015
A new "golden age" of marketing has begun.
"Brand Shift" -
July 2015
Several Macro Forces will keep GDP and Inflation at low levels for years to come.
Evolutionshift Blog -
September 2015
2015 will be the peak year of fossil fuel use and emissions.
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October 2015
The U.S. Automotive industry will continue to migrate from ‘gear head” Detroit to “tech” Silicon Valley.
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November 2015
Autonomous Automobiles will be at least 30% of all cars on the road in the U.S. By 2030.
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December 2015
Physical retail will continue to contract/collapse over the next two years in the U.S. In the age of on-line retail, the country is significantly overbuilt.
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January 2016
Marijuana legalization will dramatically move forward in 2016 and will be largely decriminalized by 2020 in the U.S.
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February 2016
The presidential election this year is a wealth inequality election. Populism and strong reaction against D.C. Establishment will be the determining factor.
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March 2016
2015-2017 will be the beginning of the end of the fossil fuel era. It has begun and will go into increasing decline in the next two decades.
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April 2016
Crew Consciousness for This Spaceship Earth will be key to fight Climate Change 2016-2030.
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June 2016
2016 was the last year of the two party duopoly in the U.S.
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August 2016
Sea Level Rise will eviscerate a trillion dollars worth of beach front real estate in the U.S. By 2037.
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October 2016
There will be massive geopolitical upheaval in the next five years as the end of the fossil fuel era has begun.
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November 2016
The amount of “cord cutting” for cable TV in the next four years will surpass the last fifteen years.
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January 2017
The 2017-2037 transit will change reality as much as the beginning of the Industrial Age or the Rensaisssance.
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January 2017
2017 will be the beginning of significant loss of human jobs to AI/Machine Learning, led by the financial sector.
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February 2017
Artificial Intelligence will be one of if not the most significant technologies in human history.
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February 2017
AI/Machine Learning will be the technology that can accelerate human evolution to a new place by 2040.
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March 2017
For the next few years the price of oil will largely be $40-60 a barrel.
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May 2017
Hundreds of billions of dollars of real estate value in the U.S. will be lost between 2020-2035 due purely to sea level rise.
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June 2017
Massive long term economic disruption will occur 2017-2030 as historically unprecedented creative destruction occurs in multiple industries.
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July 2017
The unfettered growth of social media, particularly Facebook is about to have a moment of self or governmentally imposed restrictions.
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August 2017
We have entered the 2nd half of The Shift Age. Change accelerates and we move from Transformation to Disruption.
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October 2017
There is a high possibility of a financial disruption by 2020.
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November 2017
By the end of 2018, Brexit will be looked at as more positive and valid than it has been.
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December 2017
Facebook may well be at its’ zenith. It could well have a 20% decrease in active users in the next two years.
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January 2018
It is time to talk about worst case scenario with Climate Change. Humanity must dramatically alter how it lives on the planet by 2030 or civilization as we know it will be gone by 2100.
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March 2018
In the next three years, autonomous automobiles will be a common sight in many areas of the U.S.
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April 2018
Sometime in the early to mid-2020s there will be a reckoning of the Great Debt Reset. The debt fueled Global Economy will have some unprecedented apocalypse.
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May 2018
The Millennials and the Digital Natives will be in the majority of U.S. citizens by 2020.
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June 2018
If the Stoneham Douglas kids are any indication of Digital Natives political involvement, then Millennials and Digital Natives will be in the majority of the electorate in the U.S. by 2024.
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July 2018
Between now and 2022 the second stage of Internet Disintermediation will disrupt media, wholesale, supply chains and even perhaps, money.
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September 2018
Additive manufacturing and the lowering of costs for space launches by SpaceX dramatically raises the possibility of a tiny colony on Mars by the end of the 2020s.
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October 2018
The developed countries of the world have moved into Peak Auto.
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November 2018
The developed countries of the world will be rapidly moving from an Ownership Economy to a Sharing/Access Economy between now and 2022.
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December 2018
In terms of total oil extracted for all time, we will enter peak oil in 2019. 2019-2021 will see massive write-downs in the oil and gas industries.
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January 2019
For at least the next three years there will always be 2-3 countries that are having massive demonstrations, with “revolution in the air”.
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February 2019
For the next 5 years, wealth inequality becomes ever more a focus as it will trigger cascading effects throughout society.
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March 2019
Innovation is becoming obsolete. In an age of disruption, innovation is only iterative change.
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May 2019
In the 2020s Capitalism will be reinvented to face climate change and wealth inequality.
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July 2019
The age of electric aviation will begin in the early 2020s and by 2025 a double-digit percentage of flights under 500 miles will become a reality.
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September 2019
2020 will be the first year when climate change damage globally will top $1 trillion.
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November 2019
The geopolitical unrest and upheavals will increase annually during the next decade, as 20th Century constructs collapse.
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January 2020
Trends and basic math suggest that it may well be a Democratic landslide in November.
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February 2020
The COVID-19 virus will have at least a $1 trillion dollar negative effort on global GDP or 1.2%.
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March 2020
Due to COVID-19 the Dow will drop to or below 20,000 and the global GDP will shrink by 2-3% in 2020.