Evolution Shift
A Future Look at Today
Disintermediation
July 7th, 2015

The Macro Forces Behind Slow GDP Growth and Inflation in the United States

 [This column first appeared in the Shift Age Newsletter #36 ] Ever since the end of the Great Recession a few years ago, there has been much written about the lack of both economic growth and inflation. Much of this coverage mentions that the post-recession recovery is much slower than the recovery of past recessions […]

May 24th, 2015

The Cable Television Era Comes to an End

The failed merger of Comcast and Time Warner and the probable merger of Charter and Time Warner will be looked back upon as  significant events. They mark the end of the cable era of television. In the United States, cable began in the post-WWII years as a way to bring broadcast television to hard to […]

January 29th, 2014

Forecasts – Part One

[This column was first published in the Shift Age Newsletter #27] Eight years ago I first began to write and speak about the future full time.  Then, as always, I was asked about what accurate forecasts I had made.  This told me of course that my legitimacy to some degree would be based upon this.  […]

September 1st, 2010

Revisiting a Forecast About the Future of Cable Television

Last November, I wrote a column here about the future of cable television.  In that column from last November I forecast: “Cable television subscriptions will experience noticeable percentage declines in the next three to five years.” Last week it was announced that for the first time in history paid television subscriptions dropped 216,000 with cable […]

October 21st, 2009

Magazine Publishers Find They No Longer Live in Kansas.

To many, the absolute collapse of the magazine industry in 2009 may seem stunning.  What is stunning to me is that the industry didn’t see it coming and take steps to avert this collapse.  Once again, another industry can only see a year ahead and thinks that a down year – 2008 – would be […]

February 10th, 2009

The Next Wave of Creative Destruction in Media is Underway

We have all lived through a lifetime of technology changing the media and content landscape.  Satellites allowed cable television and later satellite television to erode and then eviscerate the traditional broadcast network business model.  Then the analog to digital transition eliminated the physicality of the product in the music industry.  Then the universal, immediate and […]

December 9th, 2008

The Financial Golden Age of Sports 1996 – 2008

We are coming to an end of the greatest financial age of sports in history.  The twelve years between 1996 and 2008 were years when the money around sports exploded beyond any precedent era.  This also means that, going forward, the economics around sports in general will decline, at least for the next 5-8 years […]

November 12th, 2008

President Elect Obama and the Transition to the Shift Age

We are now in the transition from the Information Age to the Shift Age.  In recent columns I have positioned the recent financial melt down and global economic collapse as the beginning of a painful transitional restructuring between ages.  Just as the 1970s with all its stagflation and unprecedented turmoil was the transitional period between […]

September 1st, 2008

Convergence and Connectivity in the Home

Last week the Internationale Funkausstellung was held in Berlin.  This is the largest consumer electronics convention in Europe, equaling and perhaps surpassing the CES show that occurs every January in Las Vegas.  One of the central themes behind major new product launches was the Internet and the central role it is now beginning to play […]

July 24th, 2008

Future Forecast – The 2008 Election

The tag line of this blog is “A Future Look at Today”. It is not a political blog, nor is this a political column. I have assiduously kept politics out of this space leaving partisan conversations about campaign issues to others. There is a lot of heat around partisan politics and such heat can prevent […]

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David Houle has been called “the CEOs futurist, having spoken to or advised more than 3,500 CEOs in the last 10 years.

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