There will be some sort of economic slow-down or disruption in 2019. In a column I wrote back in October 2017, I stated that between then and 2020 there would be some sort of economic disruption. I now refine the timing of that forecast. I think that sometime between the 4th quarter of 2018 and […]
[Note: much of this column was recently published in the Sarasota Herald-Tribune] I am not a financial adviser nor an economist. I do not offer investment advice. I am instead very happy to be a futurist whose value is to forecast the future accurately up to five years out and directionally 10 to 15 years […]
In recent weeks I have taken a look back on forecasts I have made in the past about Media, Technology, Energy and Climate Change. This week I take a look back at some economic forecasts made, particularly those that are still very relevant. I am one of the few, if only futurists that posts the […]
In some odd way I am an oil price geek. In 2006, when I was starting this blog and starting to speak full time about the future, I made a forecast that oil would get to $125 a barrel price in 2008. At the time it was trading around $70 a barrel, which was […]
2017 will see the continuation of the collapse of physical retail. There will be many more store closings this year following the recent announcements from Macy’s, Sears, and K-Mart. This is something I have been forecasting for years. Back in January 2009 I wrote: “Retailing is in a free fall. There will be numerous bankruptcies […]
In the last column here I discussed the lens of transformation relative to all the change going on in the world today. I also noted the unpredictability of a Trump Presidency and that it will obviously affect some forecasts in degrees. In addition a look at the U.S. and Global Economy, starting with the problems […]
2016 was really a year to test all of us one way or another. Beloved icons died, anger and resentment determined elections, and what we thought was reality turned out to not be. Disorientation, death, disruption, depression and delight were all felt by large portions of humanity, as the year landed body blows to the […]
As a futurist I am always asked about what might happen in the future, usually about some specific category of interest to the questioner. This interminable presidential election has been no exception. “Who do you think will win?” was, until recently when the outcome seems to be clear, a frequent question. I have answered that […]
Note: This column first appeared in the Sarasota Herald Tribune. There has been a lot of discussion in the media about this economic recovery’s slow percentage growth of gross domestic product. It also has been an ongoing reality for years that the inflation rates in the U.S. and Europe have been, for the most part, less than […]
[Note: This column was originally published in the Shift Age Newsletter earlier this month] We are at the very beginning of the end of the fossil fuel era. The use of fossil fuels will continue for decades but 2015-2017 will be looked back upon as the beginning of the transition from growth to long slow […]
