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May 17th, 2017

A Review of Past Forecasts – Economics

In recent weeks I have taken a look back on forecasts I have made in the past about Media, Technology, Energy and Climate Change.  This week I take a look back at some economic forecasts made, particularly those that are still very relevant. I am one of the few, if only futurists that posts the […]

 

 

March 14th, 2017

The Price of Oil

  In some odd way I am an oil price geek. In 2006, when I was starting this blog and starting to speak full time about the future, I made a forecast that oil would get to $125 a barrel price in 2008. At the time it was trading around $70 a barrel, which was […]

 

 

January 24th, 2017

Physical Retail Will Continue to Collapse

2017 will see the continuation of the collapse of physical retail. There will be many more store closings this year following the recent announcements from Macy’s, Sears, and K-Mart. This is something I have been forecasting for years. Back in January 2009 I wrote: “Retailing is in a free fall.  There will be numerous bankruptcies […]

 

 

January 10th, 2017

2017 Forecasts – Part Two

In the last column here I discussed the lens of transformation relative to all the change going on in the world today. I also noted the unpredictability of a Trump Presidency and that it will obviously affect some forecasts in degrees. In addition a look at the U.S. and Global Economy, starting with the problems […]

 

 

January 3rd, 2017

A First Look into 2017 – High Level Thoughts

2016 was really a year to test all of us one way or another. Beloved icons died, anger and resentment determined elections, and what we thought was reality turned out to not be. Disorientation, death, disruption, depression and delight were all felt by large portions of humanity, as the year landed body blows to the […]

 

 

October 11th, 2016

The 2016 Presidential Election – Thoughts and Forecasts

As a futurist I am always asked about what might happen in the future, usually about some specific category of interest to the questioner. This interminable presidential election has been no exception. “Who do you think will win?” was, until recently when the outcome seems to be clear, a frequent question. I have answered that […]

 

 

August 16th, 2016

Low Inflation and GDP Growth is the New Reality

Note:  This column first appeared in the Sarasota Herald Tribune. There has been a lot of discussion in the media about this economic recovery’s slow percentage growth of gross domestic product. It also has been an ongoing reality for years that the inflation rates in the U.S. and Europe have been, for the most part, less than […]

 

 

March 29th, 2016

A Major Energy Transition Has Begun

[Note:  This column was originally published in the Shift Age Newsletter earlier this month] We are at the very beginning of the end of the fossil fuel era. The use of fossil fuels will continue for decades but 2015-2017 will be looked back upon as the  beginning of the transition from growth to long slow […]

 

 

February 15th, 2016

The Wealth Inequality Election

Note: This is not a political column. Rather it is a look at the fundamental reason and dynamic that is and will continue to shape the 2016 presidential campaign.  As a professional speaker about the future I give speeches all over the world. The majority of my speeches are in the United States. It is […]

 

 

January 5th, 2016

Looking Ahead at 2016

During 2015, I wrote and spoke about how significant a year it was and would prove to be. Many significant events occurred and several major trends became clear. It is these events and trends that will in part shape the world as we move into 2016. I want to leave the depressing and distracting circus […]

 

 

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David Houle has been called “the CEOs futurist, having spoken to or advised more than 3,500 CEOs in the last 10 years.

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