Evolution Shift
A Future Look at Today
June 29th, 2022

Embrace the New / Let Go of the Old

  [Much of this column was originally published in the Sarasota Herald Tribune that is part of a series on the “loss of paradise” and the need to be preemptive in planning for the future.  This planning must no longer be the propagation of what was, what might have worked in the past, or as […]

 

 

September 17th, 2019

Historical Disruption in the Automobile Industry

 100 years ago, the automobile industry was rapidly expanding in America. The internal combustion engine [ICE] autos were rolling out of factories in ever greater numbers. The prices had just come down, installment payment plans were created to fuel the sales of the auto companies and the automobile started to become part of the American […]

 

 

April 29th, 2019

Elon Musk: The Edison/Tesla/Westinghouse/Ford/Rockefeller/Bell/Goddard of the Digital Age

[This golden oldie is the first of two columns on Elon Musk that I wrote four years ago in 2015.  To put it simply, Musk is truly on a level with all the great robber barons and scientists of 100-125 years, ago combined.  Each one of the names listed in the title represents a specific […]

 

 

July 12th, 2017

It is Now Daytime for the Electric Car

It was about 10 years ago that I started to write about electric cars in this space with this and this column.  It was clear to me then that, ultimately, they would become mainstream and become a significant percentage of cars driven in the developed countries of the world.  In early 2008, I forecast that 2010-2015 would be the dawn of the age of the electric car and of course it was.

 

 

May 2nd, 2017

The Next 20 Years: 2017-2037

There will be more change in the next 20 years than any 20-50 year period in history. In fact, future historians may well look back on this time as a historical transit as significant as the beginning of the Industrial Revolution or the Renaissance. It is hard to imagine any area of life that will […]

 

 

January 17th, 2017

2017 Forecasts – Technology

In the last two columns about 2017 I took a look at the big picture and at the global economic, energy and geopolitical landscape. Much disruption ahead!  Please notice that the title of this column is NOT Technology Trends for 2017. Trends do not happen within a year. Any such titled column is really about […]

 

 

March 29th, 2016

A Major Energy Transition Has Begun

[Note:  This column was originally published in the Shift Age Newsletter earlier this month] We are at the very beginning of the end of the fossil fuel era. The use of fossil fuels will continue for decades but 2015-2017 will be looked back upon as the  beginning of the transition from growth to long slow […]

 

 

November 3rd, 2015

The New Automobile Era

We are now about 130 years into the automobile era. Starting with Karl Benz’s patent in the 1880s the automobile quickly became widespread with Henry Ford’s model of mass production scaling up the market 100 years ago. Since then there have been waves of significant changes. The first stage was about mechanics and engines and […]

 

 

September 22nd, 2015

2015- The Peak Year for Fossil Fuel Use

[Note:  Much of this column was first published in issue #37 of the Shift Age Newsletter] 2015 will turn out to be the peak year of fossil fuel use. By 2020 it will be clear that the decline in consumption of fossil fuels began this year. It therefore will be the first year of flat […]

 

 

June 23rd, 2015

Elon Musk: The Edison/Tesla/Westinghouse/Ford/Rockefeller/Bell/Goddard of the Digital Age- Part Two

In the last column here, I looked at the transformations Elon Musk is bringing to the automotive, battery and energy businesses. In this column we look at the breakthroughs he is working on in solar energy, space exploration and Internet connectivity. One of the issues with or counter arguments about electric cars was that even […]

 

 

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David Houle has been called “the CEOs futurist, having spoken to or advised more than 4,000 CEOs in the last 15 years.

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