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October 11th, 2016

The 2016 Presidential Election – Thoughts and Forecasts

As a futurist I am always asked about what might happen in the future, usually about some specific category of interest to the questioner. This interminable presidential election has been no exception. “Who do you think will win?” was, until recently when the outcome seems to be clear, a frequent question. I have answered that […]

 

 

July 7th, 2015

The Macro Forces Behind Slow GDP Growth and Inflation in the United States

 [This column first appeared in the Shift Age Newsletter #36 ] Ever since the end of the Great Recession a few years ago, there has been much written about the lack of both economic growth and inflation. Much of this coverage mentions that the post-recession recovery is much slower than the recovery of past recessions […]

 

 

September 17th, 2014

A New Stage of the Global Economy is Beginning – Part Two

We are entering the second great stage of the global economy. The last column here looked back at the foundations of the global economy up to and through the reorganizational recession of 2007-2011. We now look at what has happened in the years since and begin the look into what the next stage might look […]

 

 

January 29th, 2014

Forecasts – Part One

[This column was first published in the Shift Age Newsletter #27] Eight years ago I first began to write and speak about the future full time.  Then, as always, I was asked about what accurate forecasts I had made.  This told me of course that my legitimacy to some degree would be based upon this.  […]

 

 

October 30th, 2011

Thomas Jefferson and Banks

Thomas Jefferson and Banks Thomas Jefferson was one of the greatest Presidents of the United States. He helped shape the ideal of a citizen’s democracy for America.  He was a visionary and evidently a futurist.  Here is what he said in 1802 about banking institutions: “I believe that banking institutions are more dangerous to our […]

 

 

March 3rd, 2009

Painfully Correct

As a futurist, part of what I do is to present the future to audiences and readers around the world.  Presenting a vision of the future, making predictions and developing forecasts is what a futurist does. Regular readers of this column know that since last September I have presented you with a number of economic […]

 

 

February 17th, 2009

This Great Recession is Actually Green

The Great Recession of 2008-2010/11 is going to be a very tough time economically.  As I wrote in my Forecast for 2009, this economic collapse brings four words to mind. The first word is contraction, which is the standard way to view a recession.  Economic activity contracts and we are in a recession, economic expansion […]

 

 

February 3rd, 2009

This Great Recession Will Restructure Advertising

The current media and advertising recession will be more severe and more transformative than any one of the last 80 years.  This will be a time when it won’t be just about how far down ad spending goes, but also about what media entities and even business sectors will survive. Historically, advertising recessions have been […]

 

 

January 12th, 2009

Forecast 2009 Part 3 President Obama and the Stimulus Package

It is interesting that central to the U.S. view of the global economy is the inauguration of President Obama and the passage of a historic stimulus package by Congress.  Given that the world is awash in economic fear the potential for hope and a sense of direction has been hard to find.  Since the current […]

 

 

January 8th, 2009

Forecast 2009 Part 2 The Economy

In my last column I wrote that humanity is in transition from one Age to another and that the global financial collapse is a painful part of that transition.  This occurs during any major historical transition period.  In addition I wrote: “There are four words that keep coming back to me as I view the […]

 

 

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David Houle has been called “the CEOs futurist, having spoken to or advised more than 3,500 CEOs in the last 10 years.

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