Book Expo America is the large annual convention of the book publishing industry. For the past few days, thousands of people descended on the Javits Center in New York for the annual ritualistic gathering of the tribes of this 500 year old business. As regular readers know, this year I have attended the Consumer Electronic […]
Recent events and news stories have had a familiar feel to me. It is because many of them had been part of my predictions for 2007 that I published here in January. When something I can see happening in the future actually happens, in a way it has already occurred for me. For example, I […]
It was reported yesterday that Americans are driving less, in large part due to the high price of gasoline. For the first time since 1981 the average American motorist is driving less. After 25 years of steady increases, the growth in total miles driven has leveled off in the last 18 months. This is in […]
A recent column discussed the historical context for the emergence of intellectual property as the new and most important valuation of a company. While this point of view is becoming more main stream every day the current problem is that there is no liquid market that can help determine actual valuations. Corporations and individuals can easily […]
In my post on predictions for 2007, I made a specific prediction that the current Internet 2.0 boom would continue and that eyeballs, dollars and influence would migrate from old media to the Internet. Now this isn’t crystal ball stuff. Media and advertising professionals live this reality every day. Just look at your own life. […]
When I made the post with my 2007 predictions, I wrote that I would revisit the predictions from time to time, both to explore them more deeply or to reference them as events warranted. One of the specific predictions (#3) I made was that gasoline will climb over $3 a gallon nationally and over $4 […]
In my last post I listed four General Trends and Dynamics that would gain power in this New Year. The third one listed was the about alternative energy and Global Warming. The fact that we reached a tipping point on this in 2006 will become much clearer this year. It will be a dominant story, […]
As a futurist I am always asked to make predictions. Often somewhat in jest, people ask me who is going to win the election, how much will the stock market go up in the next three months, who will win the Super Bowl, things like that. While I have been accurate in such predictions, it […]
This was a very interesting year from this futurist’s point of view. It felt like a year of transition, of new beginnings and of breakthroughs. New and clear trend lines were started in several areas that will continue next year and beyond. Starting next week I will take a predictive look forward to 2007 and […]
Sergey Brin and Larry Page are of course the founders of Google. That fact, in and of itself would be enough to respect them and praise them. Simply based on influence, Google has become practically oracular in today’s world. Not since the oracle of Delphi stood astride the rift in the ground has something had […]