The Great Recession of 2008-2010/11 is going to be a very tough time economically. As I wrote in my Forecast for 2009, this economic collapse brings four words to mind. The first word is contraction, which is the standard way to view a recession. Economic activity contracts and we are in a recession, economic expansion […]
We have all lived through a lifetime of technology changing the media and content landscape. Satellites allowed cable television and later satellite television to erode and then eviscerate the traditional broadcast network business model. Then the analog to digital transition eliminated the physicality of the product in the music industry. Then the universal, immediate and […]
The current media and advertising recession will be more severe and more transformative than any one of the last 80 years. This will be a time when it won’t be just about how far down ad spending goes, but also about what media entities and even business sectors will survive. Historically, advertising recessions have been […]
It is clear that one of the reasons that Barack Obama won the Presidency is his campaign utilized the Internet in all aspects and in new ways. The Obama campaign of 2008 introduced and defined success with this latest transformative medium. The campaign’s use of all aspects of interactivity will be the definition and measurement […]
What a day! President Barack Obama is the 44th President of the United States. This will be a day that will go down in history as an inflection day. Today is a day when the United States and the world changes course and move in a new direction. Yes President Obama is the first African […]
It is interesting that central to the U.S. view of the global economy is the inauguration of President Obama and the passage of a historic stimulus package by Congress. Given that the world is awash in economic fear the potential for hope and a sense of direction has been hard to find. Since the current […]
In my last column I wrote that humanity is in transition from one Age to another and that the global financial collapse is a painful part of that transition. This occurs during any major historical transition period. In addition I wrote: “There are four words that keep coming back to me as I view the […]
This is the third year I have provided readers with a forecast for the year ahead. This forecast will be spread over several columns.. This first column frames where we are in a large historical context and the trends and forces that are reshaping the world as we enter this New Year. The general feeling […]